kuzimama (kuzimama) wrote,

алармизм, да.

"The bust in the birth rate in the 1990s and 2000s has generated the smallest population cohort in Russian history, and in a very few years, those post-Cold War children will themselves be at the age where they will be having children. A small cohort will create an even smaller cohort, and Russia’s population problems could well evolve from crushing to irrecoverable. Even if this cohort reproduces at a sub-Saharan African birthrate, even if the indications of high tuberculosis and HIV infections among this population cohort are all wrong, and even if Russia can provide a level of services for this group that it couldn’t manage during the height of Soviet power, any demographic bounce would not occur until the 2050s — once the children of this cohort have sufficiently aged to raise their own children. Until 2050, Russia simply has to learn to work with less. A lot less. And this is the best-case scenario for Russia in the next generation."
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  • (no subject)

    ...а вшивый о бане на термометре (7 вечера) +13, завтра утречком +5. это после нескольких дней +33-34. но кому-то повезло больше, к северу от нас…

  • (no subject)

    о разбросе указивок температуры в нашем гадюкине и др. обещали +27 смотрим на термометр: +34 смотрим в телефоне: +27 смотрим в TV: (среднее 95Ф) +35…

  • (no subject)

    и о погодных безобразиях: 6 утра, +3; полдень +3; 17 час. +3. все мокро, засыпано сорванными ветками/листвой/соцветиями. thanks obama!

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